Saturday, April 21, 2007

French Elections, Round One Predict


According to The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza, his “The Fix” “spends most of his time focused like a laser on American politics.” But on the day before the French election, Cillizza offers a hidden, easily-deniable prediction that Royal will surprise Sarkozy:

Sarkozy's lead in the polls could be misleading. In France public polling is notoriously unreliable. Amaya Bloch-Laine, the director of the German Marshall Fund in Paris, recently penned a blog entry on the subject. According to Bloch-Laine, recent surveys show Sarkozy with a shrinking single-digit lead over Royal, with Bayrou and Le Pen further behind.


Nobody will call Cillizza on this, if he is wrong. To me, Cillizza’s prediction, from out of nowhere and in the face of most French opinion, is just another sign of how predictibly biased U.S. media is toward the Left and Socialist females.

Let’s you and me keep score.

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