Monday, October 02, 2006

Iraq: Poll Says "No" to Partition


Here’s our latest monthly, highly abbreviated version of the Iraq Index, published and updated twice a week by Michael O'Hanlon of the Brookings Institution:

Americans Killed in Action, Iraq (monthly average)

2003: 32
2004: 59
2005: 56
2006: 51
September: 60

Americans Killed in Action, Vietnam (weekly average)
1965:* 30
1966: 97
1967: 177
1968: 263
____
* = First U.S. combat troops arrived in Vietnam, 5.3.65
Vietnam table compiled by Galen Fox using Defense Department sources.

Note please—the Vietnam KIAs are weekly, not monthly, averages.


Crude Oil Production (m. bbls./day)

Prewar: 2.50
Goal: 2.50
actual: 2.36 (9/06)

Electricity (megawatts)

Prewar: 3,958
Goal: 6,000
actual: 4,100 (9/06)

Since our last monthly Iraq report, American KIA's are up once again, nine above the monthly average for 2006. And while oil production is up, electricity output is down. Prime Minister al-Maliki is pressing for peace between the warring factions, but the sectarian violence that makes economic progress so difficult continues to unfold.

Various outsiders counsel Iraq authorities to accept the reality of Iraq's sharp internal divisions, and just partition the country into Sunni, Shiiite, and Kurdish regions. But 78% of Iraqis themselves, polled in June, disagree with segregation by religious or ethnic sect, with 66% strongly disagreeing.

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